Pork production in Ukraine: prospects for the industry up to 2033

Pig farming is a vital component of Ukraine’s agricultural sector, ensuring food security and forming a significant part of domestic meat consumption.

 
We are pleased to present a spring review of the agricultural market. Following the publication of analytics on egg production in Ukraine, our attention is now focused on another key industry: the pork production.
 
Current state of the pork production industry
The Ukrainian pork market showed mixed trends in 2024, with the average annual number of pigs increasing by +1.1% to 5.0 million heads. In particular, the number of livestock at the enterprises increased by +4.8% to 3.14 million heads (65.8% of the total), while small private farms saw a decrease of -5.2% to 1.70 million heads.

In 2024, pork production will reach 694 thousand tonnes, an increase of 4% compared to 2023. The forecast for 2025 promises even greater growth: up to +4.4%. The main driver of this recovery will be large enterprises, which already account for more than 64% of the production volumes.

Challenges for the pig farming industry
Despite the positive dynamics, the industry faces a number of challenges: a shortage of skilled labour, supply chain disruptions due to the war, high production costs and limited export opportunities. Pork exports remain insignificant: only 0.7% of total production, or 5 thousand tonnes in 2024. This indicates an exclusive focus on the domestic market and a lack of a systematic foreign trade strategy.

Concurrently, the consumer market is demonstrating signs of recovery. Ukraine has a CAGR of +1.4% for the period 2024-2033, which is quite dynamic compared to other regions, including the EU. This is an indication that the market has stabilised and that there has been a recovery in domestic demand for pork.

Prospects for the development of pig farming in Ukraine
It is interesting to note that per capita consumption in Ukraine is gradually increasing, from 13.6 kg in 2024 to a projected 15.9 kg in 2033. This is the most dynamic growth in all regions of the world.

Ukrainian product prices are rising steadily. In 2024, the average price per tonne was $2 955, and it is forecast that by 2033 this will rise to $3 132. This is indicative of rising production costs. It also highlights the fact that maintaining competitive prices in foreign markets remains a significant challenge for the industry.

Consequently, the Ukrainian pig industry is demonstrating a steady recovery from the crisis, with favourable production and consumption trends. At the same time, rising prices, dependence on imports and low export activity remain key challenges that require strategic responses and modernisation of production to ensure sustainable development.

The agricultural sector has been and remains a key component of the Ukrainian economy, with pig production being an integral part of this.

Please refer to our report for further information on the Ukrainian pork production market. 
 
The specialised agri-group of BDO in Ukraine comprises over 40 experienced professionals, who have extensive experience in the market, understand its challenges and are constantly conducting analytical research on the agri-food sector, including the pork market.

Should you be employed within the pig industry and wish to obtain in-depth analytics, identify new opportunities for development or improve production efficiency, please do not hesitate to contact our specialists.

* This publication contains general information only and does not constitute professional advice or service. It is advisable to consult a qualified professional advisor before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or business. Please contact BDO in Ukraine for further advice and support.

Key Contact

Dmytriy Korol

Dmytriy Korol

Head of Business Valuation and Financial Modeling
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